The US Election - why were the polls wrong again?

8 nov 2020 · 21 min. 15 sec.
The US Election - why were the polls wrong again?
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The polls were inaccurate. Again. When we say “polls” here, we're not talking about the actual process of voting in an election, I am referring to very expensive surveys that...

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The polls were inaccurate. Again.
When we say “polls” here, we're not talking about the actual process of voting in an election, I am referring to very expensive surveys that ask about a thousand US adults who they will vote for. ournalists, supposedly chastened by a 2016 Trump win that they did not see coming, were going to be very cautious this time around. No more flailing New York Times needle. No more decimal places on FiveThirtyEight’s homepage - instead, a cartoon fox in glasses explaining to you what voters might do. And yet countless articles were still written over the past few months predicting that a Biden win was more likely than a Trump win, and so a lot of people are shouting online and offline because they have been caught by surprise. Because yet again, somehow, they trusted the polls. Why? What about EU polls, they didn't fair any better. What is the future of the polling industry, are pollsters history?
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Autore Peter Timothy Cooper Podcasts
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