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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out...
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby.
Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
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Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
Episodi & Post
Episodi
Post
Trascritto
13 NOV 2026 · Four official plays today, and they're ugly on purpose: Sam Houston State plus 36.5 at No. 3 Illinois, Northern Iowa plus 28.5 at No. 5 Michigan State in a sandwich spot, the 1-11 Milwaukee Bucks plus 9 at Orlando, and the one-win Sacramento Kings plus 10.5 at home against Portland in a double-decker sandwich after the Blazers beat Oklahoma City twice. I don't have an official college football or hockey play. I also lean Golden State plus 11.5 at San Antonio — the number dropped from 13 to 11.5 with Curry out — but I don't love it, and it's not an official play. Plus leans on Texas A&M-Corpus Christi plus 24.5 at Florida State, Georgetown to cover at Clemson, Butler, Merrimack plus the points at No. 1 Florida, Middle Tennessee (close to the card), SIU Edwardsville plus 44.5 at Duke, Maryland plus the points against Virginia, Auburn as a home underdog against Arizona, Indiana against the Knicks, New Orleans, Utah plus the points at Houston, and the Clippers plus the points against Oklahoma City.
TODAY'S BEST BETS:
🏀 CBB: Sam Houston State +36.5 at #3 Illinois
🏀 CBB: Northern Iowa +28.5 at #5 Michigan State
🏀 NBA: Milwaukee Bucks +9 at Orlando Magic
🏀 NBA: Sacramento Kings +10.5 vs Portland Trail Blazers
Chapters:
0:00 Intro & waiting room
3:18 Intro song
4:29 Show start — Friday 11/13
5:28 CBB: West Florida vs Cleveland State
7:30 North Alabama at Miami
9:54 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Florida State
12:29 Georgetown at Clemson
14:28 Pittsburgh at Butler
17:38 Merrimack at Florida
20:09 BEST BET: Sam Houston State +36.5 at Illinois
24:56 BEST BET: Northern Iowa +28.5 at Michigan State
39:29 Northern Arizona at Kentucky
40:25 Appalachian State at Charlotte
43:29 FIU at Florida Gulf Coast
44:08 Troy at NC State
45:54 Georgia at North Carolina
48:34 Ohio State at UConn
51:30 Southeast Missouri State at Middle Tennessee
54:27 SIU Edwardsville at Duke
56:29 Virginia at Maryland
59:30 Central Arkansas at Arkansas
1:02:57 Southern Miss vs Texas State
1:10:28 Milwaukee at TCU
1:12:00 Fairleigh Dickinson at Oklahoma
1:18:55 Arizona at Auburn
1:22:24 Seton Hall at Alabama
1:24:34 Stanford at UNLV
1:29:00 Ball State at SMU
1:29:58 DePaul vs Northwestern
1:32:32 Xavier vs Mississippi State
1:42:36 NHL: Rangers at Canucks
1:46:00 Predators at Golden Knights
1:46:45 NBA: Knicks at Pacers
1:48:29 BEST BET: Bucks +9 at Magic
1:54:00 Cavaliers at Heat
1:57:28 Hawks at Bulls
1:59:30 Grizzlies at Pelicans
2:02:36 Jazz at Rockets
2:04:34 Warriors at Spurs (lean Golden State +11.5)
2:08:09 BEST BET: Kings +10.5 vs Blazers
2:16:29 Thunder at Clippers
2:17:55 CFB: Florida State at Pittsburgh
2:21:00 Illinois at UCLA
2:26:44 Houston at Colorado
2:30:27 Plays recap & outro
Games covered: West Florida vs Cleveland State; North Alabama @ Miami; Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Florida State; Georgetown @ Clemson; Pittsburgh @ Butler; Merrimack @ Florida; Sam Houston @ Illinois; Northern Iowa @ Michigan State; Northern Arizona @ Kentucky; Appalachian State @ Charlotte; FIU @ FGCU; Troy @ NC State; Georgia @ North Carolina; Ohio State @ UConn; Southeast Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee; SIU Edwardsville @ Duke; Virginia @ Maryland; Central Arkansas @ Arkansas; Southern Miss vs Texas State; Milwaukee @ TCU; Fairleigh Dickinson @ Oklahoma; Arizona @ Auburn; Seton Hall @ Alabama; Stanford @ UNLV; Ball State @ SMU; DePaul vs Northwestern; Xavier vs Mississippi State; Rangers @ Canucks; Predators @ Golden Knights; Knicks @ Pacers; Bucks @ Magic; Cavaliers @ Heat; Hawks @ Bulls; Grizzlies @ Pelicans; Jazz @ Rockets; Warriors @ Spurs; Blazers @ Kings; Thunder @ Clippers; Florida State @ Pittsburgh; Illinois @ UCLA; Houston @ Colorado.
Lines as discussed live; check your book. Leans are not official best bets.
Best bets today, NBA picks, college basketball picks, NHL picks, college football picks, and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #NBAPicks #CBBPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting #NBACup
Trascritto
12 NOV 2026 · Two official plays today, both in hockey: a Toronto Maple Leafs split against Minnesota (puck line and moneyline) and the St. Louis Blues moneyline as a plus-money underdog fading Utah off a back-to-back. I also lean Washington in tonight's Commanders-Giants rematch — they were in field-goal range in overtime on October 11 and ran out of time — but I don't love it, and it's not an official play. Plus leans on South Florida plus the points (I like it, but I don't know enough to put it on the card), Phoenix, Minnesota laying the NBA points, Montreal, Southern plus the points, and the Islanders-Kings under.
TODAY'S BEST BETS:
🏒 NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs split — +1.5 puck line (~-160) and ML (+140); ML alone is also fine. He prefers building a +1 puck line out of the split (pushes if Toronto loses by 1; ~-108 if the numbers line up). Minnesota about -170 on the ML.
🏒 NHL: St. Louis Blues ML (plus money) vs Utah Mammoth
Chapters:
0:00 Intro & waiting room
8:00 Intro song
8:37 Show start — Thursday 11/12
10:36 CBB: Kansas City at George Mason
12:00 Bradley at Coppin State
13:00 Tennessee Tech at Indiana
19:30 Southern Utah at High Point
21:46 Oklahoma State at Texas A&M
25:33 Loyola Marymount at South Alabama
27:31 Southern at Minnesota
32:40 NHL: Hurricanes vs Kraken (Global Series, Helsinki)
35:30 Canadiens at Bruins
38:37 BEST BET: Maple Leafs split vs Wild
44:27 Avalanche at Senators
45:25 Capitals at Devils
50:23 Lightning at Blue Jackets
52:30 Red Wings at Panthers
56:00 Sabres at Blackhawks
58:30 Jets at Stars
1:02:45 BEST BET: Blues ML (plus money) vs Utah
1:08:30 Islanders at Kings
1:11:23 NBA: Raptors at 76ers
1:14:15 Pistons at Wizards
1:19:10 Mavericks at Timberwolves
1:22:30 Hornets at Suns
1:24:26 CFB: Memphis at South Florida
1:30:37 Louisiana at UL Monroe
1:37:21 TNF: Commanders at Giants
1:53:41 Plays recap & outro
Games covered: Kansas City @ George Mason; Bradley @ Coppin State; Tennessee Tech @ Indiana; Southern Utah @ High Point; Oklahoma State @ Texas A&M; Loyola Marymount @ South Alabama; Southern @ Minnesota; Hurricanes vs Kraken (Helsinki); Canadiens @ Bruins; Wild @ Maple Leafs; Avalanche @ Senators; Capitals @ Devils; Lightning @ Blue Jackets; Red Wings @ Panthers; Sabres @ Blackhawks; Jets @ Stars; Blues @ Mammoth; Islanders @ Kings; Raptors @ 76ers; Pistons @ Wizards; Mavericks @ Timberwolves; Hornets @ Suns; Memphis @ South Florida; Louisiana @ UL Monroe; Commanders @ Giants.
Lines as discussed live; check your book. Leans are not official best bets.
Best bets today, NFL picks, NBA picks, college basketball picks, NHL picks, college football picks, and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #NFLPicks #NBAPicks #CBBPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting #TNF
Trascritto
11 NOV 2026 · Cavs still want that playoff revenge at the Garden — but it's not one of today's official plays. I like Cleveland plus the points and was going to play it, then left it off the card. The three official plays: Toronto Raptors +7.5 vs the Celtics (I already played +7.5; at recap I said you may have to play +6.5 now, and I'd still do it — +6.5 is fine), South Dakota State +1.5 vs Valparaiso, and the Utah Mammoth ML +108 against Vegas in a playoff-revenge / return-home spot. Plus leans on Marquette plus the points at Michigan, Calgary against the Rangers, and a loaded midweek CBB/NHL/CFB board.
TODAY'S BEST BETS:
🏀 NBA: Toronto Raptors +7.5 vs Boston Celtics
🏀 CBB: South Dakota State +1.5 vs Valparaiso
🏒 NHL: Utah Mammoth ML +108 vs Vegas Golden Knights
Chapters:
0:00 Intro & Celtics–Sixers recap
5:27 Intro song
6:39 Show start — Wednesday 11/11
7:49 CBB: Fairleigh Dickinson at East Texas A&M
10:52 UMKC at Florida A&M
14:47 Saint Joseph's / Navy (Veterans Day)
21:43 Penn at Navy
29:35 Marquette at #20 Michigan
35:16 Saint Peter's at South Carolina
39:22 James Madison at Delaware
44:43 Jacksonville State at Houston
47:21 Robert Morris at Arkansas
54:20 BEST BET: South Dakota State vs Valparaiso
56:17 Santa Clara at North Texas
1:02:04 Lindenwood at Nebraska
1:05:09 Oakland at Boise State
1:08:30 Portland State at Colorado State
1:09:26 USC at California
1:11:34 Break
1:14:17 NHL: Tampa Bay at Buffalo
1:15:49 Rangers at Calgary
1:18:29 Flyers at Edmonton
1:24:05 BEST BET: Utah Mammoth ML +108 vs Vegas
1:26:30 Predators at Ducks
1:28:12 Penguins at Sharks
1:31:10 NBA board — Wizards at Pacers
1:34:09 Cavs at Knicks (lean; not official)
1:41:30 BEST BET: Raptors vs Celtics
1:47:19 Spurs at Bulls
1:50:43 Nuggets at Grizzlies
1:52:14 Lakers at Bucks
1:55:30 Nets at Pelicans
1:56:14 Magic at Jazz
1:58:58 Warriors at Rockets
2:02:14 Thunder at Trail Blazers
2:03:00 CFB: Buffalo at Ball State
2:07:08 Sacramento State at Central Michigan
2:12:57 UMass at Toledo
2:15:29 Plays recap & outro
Games covered: Fairleigh Dickinson @ East Texas A&M; UMKC @ Florida A&M; Marquette @ Michigan; Saint Peter's @ South Carolina; James Madison @ Delaware; Jacksonville State @ Houston; Robert Morris @ Arkansas; Valparaiso @ South Dakota State; Santa Clara @ North Texas; Lindenwood @ Nebraska; Oakland @ Boise State; Portland State @ Colorado State; USC @ California; Lightning @ Sabres; Rangers @ Flames; Flyers @ Oilers; Mammoth @ Golden Knights; Predators @ Ducks; Penguins @ Sharks; Wizards @ Pacers; Cavaliers @ Knicks; Celtics @ Raptors; Spurs @ Bulls; Nuggets @ Grizzlies; Lakers @ Bucks; Nets @ Pelicans; Magic @ Jazz; Warriors @ Rockets; Thunder @ Trail Blazers; Buffalo @ Ball State; Sacramento State @ Central Michigan; UMass @ Toledo; plus the broader CBB board.
Lines as discussed live; check your book before you bet. Leans are not official best bets. Official Toronto number is the +7.5 ticket I already played; +6.5 is also acceptable per the show. Utah is ML +108. Vegas was also spoken as a small favorite in the -120 something range. I skipped an official college football play and left the Cavs–Knicks game as a lean only.
Best bets today, NBA picks, college basketball picks, NHL picks, midweek college football, and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #NBAPicks #CBBPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting #Cavs #Knicks
Trascritto
10 NOV 2026 · Who really won the Jaylen Brown–Paul George trade? First meeting since July's blockbuster, and I lean the Celtics — but I'm not putting it on the official card. Today's official plays are two college basketball spots and one hockey moneyline: Tulane -7.5 at home vs Nicholls (he later noted the live number had already moved to -9.5), Northern Kentucky +23.5 at Saint Louis, and the Detroit Red Wings ML at St. Louis. Plus leans on Milwaukee plus the points in a Knicks sandwich, Kent State plus the points in midweek MAC play, and a loaded CBB/NHL board.
TODAY'S BEST BETS:
🏀 CBB: Tulane Green Wave -7.5 vs Nicholls
🏀 CBB: Northern Kentucky Norse +23.5 vs Saint Louis
🏒 NHL: Detroit Red Wings ML vs St. Louis Blues
Chapters:
0:00 Intro & yesterday recap
4:02 Show start — college basketball board
4:25 #1 Florida at Florida State
8:00 NJIT at Rutgers
12:54 Michigan State vs Duke
16:00 La Salle at Villanova
18:28 Winthrop at Kennesaw State
21:23 Iowa / Virginia Tech
28:00 Wyoming +points lean vs North Carolina
31:31 Memphis at Vanderbilt (not a play)
35:21 BEST BET: Tulane vs Nicholls
41:19 Illinois at Texas Tech
45:00 Lipscomb vs Belmont
50:19 SE Louisiana at Ole Miss
52:00 #6 Virginia vs Bucknell
54:04 Arizona vs Northern Arizona
58:00 BYU vs Queens
1:03:00 Utah State vs Utah Tech lean
1:05:38 Kansas vs Kentucky
1:09:30 BEST BET: Northern Kentucky +23.5 vs Saint Louis
1:13:41 NHL: Colorado at Toronto
1:15:53 Minnesota at Montreal
1:20:00 Capitals at Senators lean
1:20:03 Devils at Jets
1:27:30 BEST BET: Red Wings ML vs Blues
1:29:29 Predators at Kings
1:30:30 NBA board
1:32:00 Bucks at Knicks — Milwaukee +points lean
1:33:55 Celtics at 76ers — trade talk & Celtics lean
1:37:53 Clippers at Suns
1:40:30 Heat at Jazz
1:43:00 Magic at Kings
1:44:19 Thunder at Trail Blazers
1:46:36 CFB: Western Michigan at Akron
1:50:25 Kent State at Bowling Green
1:54:12 Ohio at Miami (OH)
1:58:24 Plays recap & outro
Games covered: Florida @ Florida State; Michigan State vs Duke; La Salle @ Villanova; Winthrop @ Kennesaw State; Tulane vs Nicholls; Illinois @ Texas Tech; Lipscomb vs Belmont; Virginia vs Bucknell; Kansas vs Kentucky; Northern Kentucky @ Saint Louis; Avalanche @ Maple Leafs; Wild @ Canadiens; Capitals @ Senators; Devils @ Jets; Red Wings @ Blues; Bucks @ Knicks; Celtics @ 76ers; Clippers @ Suns; Heat @ Jazz; Magic @ Kings; Thunder @ Trail Blazers; Western Michigan @ Akron; Kent State @ Bowling Green; Ohio @ Miami (OH); plus the broader CBB and NHL boards.
Lines as discussed live; check your book before you bet. Leans are not official best bets. I skipped official NBA and college football plays today.
Best bets today, NBA picks, college basketball picks, NHL picks, midweek college football, and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #NBAPicks #CBBPicks #NHLPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting #Celtics #Sixers
Trascritto
9 NOV 2026 · #1 offense vs #1 defense on Monday Night Football — and three official plays from today's board. Buffalo averages the NFL's most points; Minnesota allows the fewest. We dig into Bills @ Vikings, then lock in Wagner +41.5 at UConn, Atlanta Hawks around +1 / pick'em vs the Lakers, and Memphis +3.5 at Toronto, plus leans across CBB, NBA, NHL and MNF.
TODAY'S BEST BETS:
🏀 CBB: Wagner Seahawks +41.5 vs UConn
🏀 NBA: Atlanta Hawks +1 (or ML) vs Lakers
🏀 NBA: Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 vs Raptors
Chapters:
0:00 Intro & slate overview
6:50 CBB early board / Marshall, Syracuse leans
9:40 BEST BET: Wagner +41.5 at UConn
14:50 Ranked CBB dogs & more college board
36:30 NHL: Rangers @ Oilers, Flyers @ Canucks, Islanders @ Sharks
1:06:30 BEST BET: Hawks vs Lakers
1:09:15 Hornets lean vs Cavaliers
1:12:30 BEST BET: Memphis +3.5 at Toronto
1:16:00 Pacers / Rockets / Spurs leans
1:22:20 MNF: Vikings +points lean (Bills @ Vikings)
1:29:00 Plays recap & outro
Games covered: Wagner @ UConn; Lakers @ Hawks; Cavaliers @ Hornets; Grizzlies @ Raptors; Pacers @ Mavericks; Nuggets @ Rockets; Spurs @ Suns; Rangers @ Oilers; Flyers @ Canucks; Islanders @ Sharks; Bills @ Vikings (MNF); plus the broader CBB board.
Lines as discussed live; check your book before you bet. Leans are not official best bets.
Best bets today, Monday Night Football picks, NBA picks, NHL picks, college basketball picks, and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #MNF #NFLPicks #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #CBBPicks #SportsBetting
Trascritto
8 NOV 2026 · THE MONEY HATES MY ONLY PLAY?! Toad, nearly voiceless, adds one under-the-radar college basketball best bet: Marist in a sandwich spot against UMass Lowell, fresh off their upset of North Shore rival Merrimack with UMass on deck. The sharp money is on the other side, and he explains why he's sticking with it anyway. We also go through every NHL and NBA game on Sunday's board, the big college hoops games, including #12 Virginia vs Arkansas and Houston vs Cal, and an NFL market check on the Week 9 card from last night's show.
✅ TODAY'S BEST BETS (numbers from the show; lines move)
🏀 CBB: Marist Red Foxes +2.5 at UMass Lowell — 1 PM ET
🏈 NFL (from last night's Week 9 show): Carolina Panthers +2.5 vs Denver (+3 at -118 preferred) — 1 PM ET
🏈 NFL (from last night's Week 9 show): Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 at Chicago — 8:20 PM ET
Full NFL Week 9 breakdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YsBBRo_R-bo
LEANS, NOT BEST BETS: Winnipeg Jets +124 vs Tampa Bay (closest to making the card), Chicago Bulls + the points vs Philadelphia, Milwaukee Bucks +12.5 vs Boston, Virginia -3.5 vs Arkansas, Utah +11.5, Miami -10.5, Dallas, Toronto ML vs New Jersey, Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary, Iona +28.5, Incarnate Word, Penn State, Cal and Wichita State + the points.
0:00 Saturday recap
3:00 One added college basketball play coming up
4:55 Show intro and NFL Madrid
6:26 NHL: Panthers at Bruins
9:26 Golden Knights at Sabres
10:47 Lightning at Jets: almost made the card
13:15 Devils at Maple Leafs
15:28 Flyers at Flames
17:51 Penguins at Ducks
20:30 NBA: 76ers at Bulls
23:00 Lakers at Pistons
26:30 Jazz at Timberwolves
28:00 Nets at Mavericks
29:28 Celtics at Bucks: Paul George vs Jaylen Brown
34:30 Pelicans at Clippers
38:30 Heat at Kings
40:00 Madrid game check-in
41:00 Break
43:27 College basketball: Iona at St. John's
46:00 Arkansas vs Virginia
50:14 Marist at UMass Lowell: best bet
56:00 Butler at Boise State
58:00 Saint Mary's vs Nevada
1:00:30 Richmond vs Temple
1:02:40 Incarnate Word at UTEP
1:06:12 Pitt vs Penn State
1:08:00 Houston vs Cal
1:10:30 Wichita State vs USC
1:13:30 NFL market read
1:18:00 Wrap-up
Lines move. Listed bets are the show's numbers, not a promise that those prices are still available. Check your book before betting. Leans are not official best bets.
Best bets today, college basketball picks, NBA best bets, NHL picks and NFL picks Sunday, free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #CBBPicks #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #NFLPicks #SportsBetting
Trascritto
8 NOV 2026 · NFL Week 9 best bets, every Sunday matchup and an early Monday Night Football lean. I am backing Carolina in a bounce-back spot against Denver and Tampa Bay as the Sunday-night underdog in Chicago.
The public loves the teams that looked great last week. I explain why I am fading that hype in Detroit-Miami, why I am not buying the Shedeur Sanders comeback story, and why Minnesota's defense keeps me interested against Buffalo. Those are leans, not additions to the best-bet card.
Strong leans also include Atlanta in Madrid and New England against Green Bay. Neither is an addition to the official best-bet card.
🏈 BEST BETS
• Carolina Panthers +2.5 vs Denver — I prefer +3 if it becomes available.
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 at Chicago.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro and Week 9 setup
4:00 Bengals vs Falcons — Madrid game
11:40 Cowboys vs Colts
16:05 Jets vs Chiefs
20:01 Lions vs Dolphins — fade the hype
25:37 Browns vs Saints — Shedeur returns
30:59 Giants vs Eagles
34:30 Rams vs Commanders
37:15 Broncos vs Panthers — best bet
42:38 Break
44:54 Packers vs Patriots
47:26 Raiders vs 49ers
52:00 Texans vs Chargers
54:50 Teaser discussion
56:25 Cardinals vs Seahawks
1:01:00 Buccaneers vs Bears — best bet
1:06:22 Bills vs Vikings — Monday night lean
1:11:27 Best-bet recap
GAMES COVERED
Bengals-Falcons (Madrid), Cowboys-Colts, Jets-Chiefs, Lions-Dolphins, Browns-Saints, Giants-Eagles, Rams-Commanders, Broncos-Panthers, Packers-Patriots, Raiders-49ers, Texans-Chargers, Cardinals-Seahawks, Buccaneers-Bears and Bills-Vikings.
Lines discussed are from the recording and can move. Opinions and leans are not official best bets unless listed above. No guarantees; bet responsibly.
www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#sportsbetting #NFL #NFLPicks #BestBets #Week9
Trascritto
7 NOV 2026 · Cavs crush Philly... now Knicks favored?! New York nearly made the card, but stays a lean. The official Saturday plays are VCU -2, Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline and San Antonio Spurs -5.5, plus the four college football bets from last night’s CFB Week 10 show. We also challenge the Portland hype, break down Canadiens–Maple Leafs, and work through the CBB, NHL and NBA boards after a 4-1 Friday recap.
✅ TODAY’S BEST BETS (lines played/discussed on the show)
🏈 CFB: Connecticut Huskies +7.5 vs North Carolina — noon ET
🏈 CFB: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -5.5 at Troy — 4 PM ET
🏈 CFB: Tennessee Volunteers -5.5 vs Kentucky — 6:15 PM ET
🏈 CFB: Oregon State Beavers -5.5 vs Texas State — 10:30 PM ET
🏀 CBB: VCU Rams -2 at Memphis — 3 PM ET
🏒 NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs +105 vs Montreal — 7 PM ET
🏀 NBA: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 at Portland — 10 PM ET
The four CFB plays are a recap of last night’s card, not four new plays. Full college football analysis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JulMOn44ibk
LEAN, NOT A BEST BET: New York Knicks -4.5 at Cleveland (8 PM ET). The Cavs’ potential letdown after beating Philadelphia is appealing, but the playoff-revenge angle and inflated back-to-back price keep it off the official card.
Games covered include VCU–Memphis, Providence–Nebraska, Maryland–Georgetown and other early-season CBB spots; all 12 NHL matchups, led by Montreal–Toronto; and all seven NBA games, including Knicks–Cavaliers and Spurs–Trail Blazers. Toad discusses rest, travel, return-home distractions, letdown spots and the difference between liking a team and liking its price. Portland’s record gets put under the microscope rather than taken at face value.
0:00 Portland hype, Cavs blowout and Saturday’s show
0:33 Friday recap: 4-1
3:30 Where to find the full CFB breakdown
6:40 Show intro
8:46 College basketball board begins
12:50 VCU at Memphis: best bet VCU -2
19:08 Long Island at La Salle
22:50 San Diego State at Colorado
24:00 Omaha at Utah State
26:00 Oakland at UC Santa Barbara
28:06 Western Carolina at UNC Asheville
31:04 Providence vs Nebraska
33:53 Denver at UC Riverside
35:27 Maryland at Georgetown
37:00 SE Louisiana at Little Rock
38:42 Break
40:49 NHL board begins
42:59 St. Louis at Nashville
45:20 Rangers at Seattle
47:56 Canadiens at Maple Leafs: Toronto moneyline best bet
51:40 Utah at Ottawa
53:48 Devils at Islanders
57:50 Blackhawks at Hurricanes
1:00:35 Sharks at Stars
1:02:35 Lightning at Wild
1:05:04 Red Wings at Avalanche
1:07:00 Penguins at Kings
1:08:30 Canucks at Oilers
1:11:43 Break and chat
1:15:00 NBA board: Nuggets at Pacers
1:17:00 Nets at Hawks
1:18:50 Knicks at Cavaliers: lean only
1:22:56 Wizards at Thunder
1:25:45 Magic at Warriors
1:28:40 Rockets at Suns
1:31:00 Spurs at Trail Blazers: best bet Spurs -5.5
1:36:07 Final seven-play card and CFB recap
1:38:10 Wrap-up and tonight’s NFL show
Lines move. Listed bets are the show’s numbers, not a promise that those prices remain available. Check your book before betting. Leans are not official best bets.
Best bets today, sports betting picks, NBA best bets, NHL picks, college basketball picks, College Football picks Saturday and free sports picks every day from Toadstool Sports.
🔗 www.linktree.com/learntotoad | www.patreon.com/learntotoad
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
#BestBetsToday #NHLPicks #NBAPicks #CBBPicks #CFBPicks #SportsBetting
Trascritto
7 NOV 2026 · College Football Week 10: rankings vs. oddsmakers, the biggest Saturday 11/7 matchups, and my four official best bets. Why is No. 1 Miami an underdog at Notre Dame? I break down that matchup, the Holy War, Alabama–LSU, Oregon–Ohio State, Georgia–Ole Miss and the rest of the board, separating official plays from leans.
OFFICIAL BEST BETS — Saturday 11/7
🏈 UConn +7.5 vs. North Carolina
🏈 Louisiana Tech -5.5 at Troy
🏈 Tennessee -5.5 vs. Kentucky
🏈 Oregon State -5.5 vs. Texas State
Numbers are the plays discussed on the show, not a guarantee of current availability. Leans, NOT official best bets: BYU +4.5, Alabama +6, Notre Dame -7 (try to find -7), Ole Miss +3.5.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Rankings vs. oddsmakers / four-play preview
2:14 Welcome and Saturday board
2:55 BYU at Utah / Holy War
8:39 Texas at Missouri
11:37 UCLA at Minnesota
17:59 More early-window matchups
25:31 North Carolina at UConn / best bet
31:03 Afternoon board and ranked matchups
52:30 Oregon at Ohio State
1:11:00 Louisiana Tech at Troy / best bet
1:16:04 Rutgers at Wisconsin / lean, not on the card
1:23:00 Kentucky at Tennessee / best bet
1:30:41 Miami at Notre Dame / big-game lean
1:35:59 Georgia at Ole Miss
1:42:48 Evening board
1:56:24 West Virginia at Texas Tech / late games
2:02:47 Texas State at Oregon State / best bet
2:07:33 Wyoming at UNLV
2:11:11 Four-play recap
GAMES COVERED INCLUDE
BYU–Utah, Texas–Missouri, UCLA–Minnesota, Iowa State–Baylor, Clemson–Syracuse, Florida State–Boston College, North Carolina–UConn, Tulsa–Tulane, Duke–NC State, Maryland–Purdue, Arkansas–Auburn, Oklahoma State–Kansas State, Texas A&M–South Carolina, Alabama–LSU, Oregon–Ohio State, Penn State–Washington, Rice–North Texas, Louisiana Tech–Troy, Vanderbilt–Mississippi State, Rutgers–Wisconsin, Boise State–Colorado State, Kentucky–Tennessee, Miami–Notre Dame, Georgia–Ole Miss, Iowa–Northwestern, Colorado–Arizona State, Louisville–Georgia Tech, Michigan State–Michigan, Air Force–Army, Oklahoma–Florida, Liberty–New Mexico State, West Virginia–Texas Tech, Texas State–Oregon State and Wyoming–UNLV.
YouTube: @ToadstoolSports
X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
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Trascritto
6 NOV 2026 · Best bets today for Friday, November 6: Buffalo in regulation, Utah and Toronto in the NBA, UCF in college basketball, and TCU at Arizona in college football. A long Friday board breakdown also covers the UConn–Michigan national championship rematch at TD Garden, NBA Cup spots, the three-game NHL slate, and all five Friday CFB games.
I look for schedule-driven letdowns, bounce-back situations, travel disadvantages and misleading recent results. The UConn–Michigan discussion is a lean, not an official play. Plus: Celtic Pride, the old Boston Garden, and a Boston-sandwich detour.
TODAY'S BEST BETS — lines given on the show
🏒 Buffalo Sabres to win in regulation -105 vs Columbus Blue Jackets (7 PM ET). Three-way/60-minute market: overtime means a loss.
🏀 Utah Jazz +7.5 at Dallas Mavericks (8 PM ET).
🏀 Toronto Raptors -6.5 at Milwaukee Bucks (8 PM ET); I got -115 juice on my number. I would still consider -7.5 at a smaller stake.
🏀 UCF -9.5 vs Yale (7 PM ET).
🏈 TCU +7.5 at Arizona (10:15 PM ET); I say get at least +7 if +7.5 is unavailable.
These are the in-show plays, not a list of every opinion. Other matchup thoughts are leans only. Lines move; check the market and price before acting.
⏱ CHAPTERS
0:00 Thursday recap and responding to the comments
5:12 Intro
6:31 Friday board overview
7:30 Blue Jackets at Sabres — Buffalo regulation play
12:17 Sharks at Wild
13:58 Ducks at Flames
19:40 NBA Cup board; Wizards at Hawks
24:44 Celtics at Hornets
27:25 76ers at Cavaliers
30:41 Jazz at Mavericks — Utah play
34:15 Celtic Pride and old Boston Garden stories
37:25 Thunder at Grizzlies
39:09 Raptors at Bucks — Toronto play and Boston sandwiches
45:43 Timberwolves at Pelicans
47:09 Trail Blazers at Lakers
49:51 Spurs at Kings
53:31 College basketball board
55:05 UMass–Boston College and Boston basketball
57:51 Northeastern–Virginia; early CBB matchups
64:18 Yale at UCF — UCF play
70:34 Holy Cross–Villanova and line shopping
74:30 East Tennessee State–NC State; Wofford–UNC
78:04 Sportsbooks, limits and explaining the vig
82:16 Saint Louis–Missouri and more CBB
90:15 Arkansas State at Alabama
92:03 UConn–Michigan championship rematch at TD Garden
98:15 Iowa State and the late CBB board
112:02 Cal State Northridge–Kansas State
116:13 North Florida at UCLA
120:25 Friday college football; Virginia Tech at SMU
124:05 South Florida at East Carolina
126:43 Nebraska at Illinois
130:18 New Mexico at Nevada
133:00 TCU at Arizona — TCU play
138:24 Wrap-up and today's five plays
SLATE COVERED
NBA: Wizards–Hawks, Celtics–Hornets, 76ers–Cavaliers, Jazz–Mavericks, Thunder–Grizzlies, Raptors–Bucks, Timberwolves–Pelicans, Trail Blazers–Lakers, Spurs–Kings.
NHL: Blue Jackets–Sabres, Sharks–Wild, Ducks–Flames.
CBB: Yale–UCF, UConn–Michigan, UMass–Boston College, Northeastern–Virginia, and the wider Friday college basketball board.
CFB: Virginia Tech–SMU, South Florida–East Carolina, Nebraska–Illinois, New Mexico–Nevada, TCU–Arizona.
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X/IG/TT: @LearnToToad
21+ Gamble responsibly. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. 1-800-GAMBLER.
#BestBetsToday #NBAPicks #NHLPicks #CBBPicks #CFBPicks
Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out...
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Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby.
Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
mostra meno
Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
Informazioni
| Autore | learntotoad |
| Organizzazione | offdeadbettor |
| Categorie | Sport |
| Sito | www.youtube.com |
| offdeadbettor@gmail.com |
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