Contatti
Info
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world. Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here:...
mostra di più
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world.
Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions
Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly
mostra meno
Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions
Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly
Episodi & Post
Episodi
Post
Trascritto
28 SET 2026 · The S&P rose while the thirty-year hit 5.49%. The RBA is set to hike Tuesday, unemployment is now in the range the Governor wanted, and oil is back above US$104 after Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire offer. This week we discuss why this is a grind rather than a spike
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/ai-oil-and-a-flat-local-market-fy25-26-in-review
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
25 SET 2026 · We asked Andrew Hunt last week whether, after years of "yes, but liquidity", we were finally coming to the end of something. His answer was an unambiguous "Yes, I think we are." The mechanism is the US current account. Hunt's long-standing rule is that once the American deficit approaches 1% of global GDP — roughly a tenth of world savings — funding becomes a problem. For 18 months it has been comfortably funded by extraordinary Asian surpluses. Korea, Taiwan and Singapore have been running surpluses near 20% of GDP, driven first by selling chips into the AI build-out and now, with capacity exhausted, by 60–70% price inflation in those same chips. The proceeds were recycled into US assets, principally through sovereign wealth funds.
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
22 SET 2026 · Every defensive allocation starts from a price, and for most of the past decade that starting point was generous: bond yields had room to fall and credit spreads had room to compress. Today the position is reversed. Government yields are grinding higher rather than mean-reverting, and credit spreads sit near their tights. The defensive leg of a diversified portfolio is being asked to do its job from the least helpful entry point in years, with both of its traditional components compromised at once.
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
21 SET 2026 · Three major central banks raised rates last week: the Fed to 4%, the ECB earlier in the week, and the Bank of Japan to 1.25% on Friday. In almost every case, markets are priced for at least one more increase this year. The Bank of Japan matters more than most assume: one explanation for the synchronised rise in yields across the US, Europe, Japan and Australia is hedge funds unwinding the "yen carry trade", borrowing cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding assets elsewhere.
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/three-central-banks-five-days-one-direction
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
14 SET 2026 · Three central banks are hiking at the same time, oil touched $110, and a trillion dollars of AI capital expenditure is landing in bond markets alongside already large government deficits. All that said equity moves were comparatively contained, and the damage was in rates, not shares which is unusual
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/hawks-at-home-oil-abroad-and-a-harder-question-about-playing-defence-in-these-markets
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
8 SET 2026 · There is a respectable case that this is noise, if painful noise. Much of the move in long yields has tracked oil almost tick for tick, and one analysis circulating this week put the rolling correlation between the two at its highest in four decades. On that reading, the bond market is a hostage of the Gulf: a durable ceasefire takes oil down and yields with it, and central banks return to something closer to normal policy considerations. Nothing structural has to be true for that story to work.The alternative reading is that oil is the trigger, not the cause. US federal debt sits near 123% of GDP, a level last seen in 1946, with deficits above 6% of GDP and real yields close to zero on trailing inflation. Bond markets in Japan and the UK are under the same pressure as the US, which is hard to square with a purely Middle Eastern explanation. And the last time inflation drove both equities and bonds down together in real terms, in 2022, the standard 70/30 portfolio was found wanting and many are now much more aware that traditional portfolio construction is equipped to deal with a growth shock rather than an inflation shock.
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/just-noisy-bond-markets-or-is-the-start-of-something
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
4 SET 2026 · When we spoke with Andrew Hunt in late July, his advice was to stay at the party. Getting defensive, he said, would be like standing on a railway track in front of an oncoming locomotive: you might know the track is broken behind you, but the train won't notice you. The impetus was extraordinary, a US credit boom that refused to stop, and trillions of dollars of Asian trade surpluses being recycled into global markets. The level of the market is faith times liquidity, and while faith may have peaked, liquidity had not.
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
31 AGO 2026 · The domestic focus last week was Wednesday's July CPI, and it was not the one the Reserve Bank wanted. Headline inflation eased to 3.5% over the year on base effects, despite a roughly 6% monthly rise in fuel prices, but the trimmed mean held at about 3.6%, and rose 0.5% in the month, well above expectation, with the pressure broad-based across goods and services rather than concentrated in one or two misbehaving components. The RBA's own forecast for August sees an acceleration to 0.83% and markets have moved to a coin toss for a hike in September and if not one is fully priced for November.
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/prices-up-and-labour-cooling-in-australia
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
28 AGO 2026 · Australia's August reporting season is drawing to a close, and the more interesting story is not the earnings themselves but what they triggered. CSL guided to flat revenue and rose 20%. Private equity bids arrived for Cleanaway, Equity Trustees, Perpetual, Steadfast and Reliance Worldwide. Meanwhile, the banks drifted the other way as mortgage applications rolled over post-Budget. This week, we look at what the rotation means for diversified portfolios and whether it has a second leg.
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
Trascritto
24 AGO 2026 · The ASX 300 fell 0.6% last week, but the index number disguised a sharp change in leadership
Get access to the graphs: http://www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/australian-reporting-season-rotation-beneath-a-flat-tape
Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world. Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here:...
mostra di più
InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world.
Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions
Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly
mostra meno
Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions
Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly
Informazioni
| Autore | InvestSense Insights |
| Organizzazione | InvestSense |
| Categorie | Investimenti , News - Affari , Politica |
| Sito | www.spreaker.com |
| research@investsense.com.au |
Copyright 2026 - Spreaker Inc. an iHeartMedia Company
