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Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they...
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Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions. Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro. Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk. Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.
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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova
Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova
Pushkin Industries
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6 NOV 2024 · Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic shifts, and campaign strategy. And Nate shares some parting advice for President Biden. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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4 NOV 2024 · On the day before the election, Nate gives a final model update, explains the latest polls, and talks about what he’ll be looking for on election day. Then, Maria and Nate trade their predictions and fears for how election day will play out. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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31 OTT 2024 · What were the worst and best decisions of this year’s presidential campaigns? With less than a week to go, Nate and Maria look back at the key strategic decisions of the race.
And of course, we spend some time looking at the model. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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30 OTT 2024 · Earlier this election cycle, Nate and Maria appeared on https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/odd-lots/id1056200096 to talk about prediction markets and election betting. It was a fun conversation -- and we're releasing it now for anyone hoping to get their final bets in. Political prediction markets — where traders can make bets on election outcomes — have been around for years. But in this cycle in particular, we've seen an explosion of interest, with people constantly checking the odds on sites like Polymarket and PredictIt to assess the state of the US presidential race. But how accurate are these markets? How do people make money on them? What do they tell us beyond what traditional polling or modeling already indicates? On this episode, Odd Lots hosts Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway speak with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova, the co-hosts of the new podcast Risky Business. Silver is, of course, a famed election modeler, and both are serious poker players with good instincts for gambling and odds. We discuss how these markets work and what the markets and models are saying right now about the current US campaign. Read More at Bloomberg.com:
https://bloom.bg/46Q66tS
https://bloom.bg/3X54rNPSee https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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24 OTT 2024 · This week, Nate and Maria talk to Daryl Morey of the Philadelphia 76ers about bringing game theory and probabilistic thinking to the NBA. And, of course, Nate and Maria discuss the election. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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17 OTT 2024 · Maria snagged her first World Series of Poker Bracelet! She and Nate break down her strategy on the crucial hands that got her the win. Then, we turn our attention to the Nobel Peace Prize and the p(doom) of nuclear warfare. And, of course, we have our weekly “Should Democrats Be Panicking?” segment. Further Reading: https://www.pokernews.com/news/2024/10/maria-konnikova-wins-bracelet-47131.htm More on https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/bios/Schelling.html More on https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/09/18/551792129/stanislav-petrov-the-man-who-saved-the-world-dies-at-77 aka the man who saved the world For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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9 OTT 2024 · Nate and Maria give a degenerate gambler's guide to the election, covering everything from Nate’s $100k gamble on Florida to listener-inspired prop bets. Maria explains why poker bots are shaking up the world of online poker. Plus, Nate and Maria lament the spread of AI “slop” online, and re-evaluate their p(doom) in light of recent developments at OpenAI. Further Reading: https://www.natesilver.net/p/should-kamala-harris-gamble-on-a from the Silver Bulletin https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2024-poker-bots-artificial-intelligence-russia/ from Bloomberg https://en.pokerpro.cc/poker-news/a-further-investigation-into-the-existence-of-the-botfarm-corporation/ from Poker Pro https://www.legaluspokersites.com/poker-bots/ from Legal Poker Sites For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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3 OTT 2024 · Caroline Ellison, the second most important person who worked at FTX, was sentenced to prison this week. Nate and Maria talk about how she and Sam Bankman-Fried thought about making +EV bets (with other people’s money). They discuss her role – victim? villain? – and how she played out her real-life prisoner’s dilemma. Then, Nate gives an election update, and he and Maria discuss what people can do to influence the election in the final weeks. (Hint: It’s not donating to a presidential campaign.) Plus, Nate and Maria say farewell to two degenerate gamblers who passed away this week. Further Reading: https://www.charitynavigator.org/ More on https://psychology.princeton.edu/people/elizabeth-levy-paluck Willy Nelson’s https://willienelson.com/collections/music Dana Carvey’s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pg4Z1M_GjhQ from SNL For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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26 SET 2024 · Nate and Maria discuss Anna Sorokin’s (AKA Anna Delvey) spin on Dancing with the Stars. Then, they debate the merits and limits of voting in your self interest, and Nate explains why Nebraska has his attention on the election map. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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19 SET 2024 · Kalshi, a company that offers prediction markets, sued the US government in an effort to legalize betting on elections. Nate and Maria discuss the pros and cons of election prediction markets. Plus, Nate gives an election update and Maria learns what to do when there’s no plus-EV move. Further Reading: https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/12/election-gambling-us-00178904 from Politico https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-13-2024/card/election-betting-halted-after-appeals-court-agrees-to-hit-the-brakes-cOqK2B0FT4aOGmYI4LHj?mod=mhp from WSJ https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/betting-on-elections-can-tell-us-a-lot-why-is-it-mostly-illegal from the New Yorker For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/ from Maria Konnikova https://www.natesilver.net/ from Nate Silver See https://omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they...
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Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions. Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro. Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk. Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.
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Informazioni
| Autore | Pushkin Industries |
| Organizzazione | iHeart Podcasts |
| Categorie | Politica |
| Sito | - |
| - |
Copyright 2024 - Spreaker Inc. an iHeartMedia Company
