In today's war diary, Nikolai Feldman and Alexey Arestovich analyzed the perspectives and plausible scenarios for the next stage of this war.

00:00 Situation in Pokrovsk district: we look at the map. The plan of the Russian army and the chances for its success.
04:25 Pokrovsk worries in the Ukrainian society.
07:50 Are there any prepared positions to withdraw to?
9:25 Risk of cutting the Pokrovsk-Avdiivka highway.
11:35 What steps should the Ukrainian army and command take? How to overcome mental barriers of some commanders?
19:20 Partners punish Ukraine for the leadership shown in the Kursk operation, and Ukraine allows this to happen to itself. A broad framework for the negotiating positions of the United States and Russia.
24:10 Over the next few months, expect conflicting statements from the warring parties, partners and allies of Ukraine.
24:29 The supposed basic scenario of the war in Ukraine. Bartering with Russia's interests.
28:30 The logic of Ukrainian leadership's visit to the United States to coordinate strikes on Russian territory.
29:42 Seizure of Kursk region - an alternative way to return the Melitopol region? Neither Russia nor Ukraine has a technical advantage.
33:36 ​​The West is building up its military capabilities. Any new opportunities for Ukraine to emerge?
36:28 US military aid to Ukraine. How should Ukraine act in conditions of limited resources? The country is not gaining real independence. In Russia, everything is being done so that the people do not notice the war.
41:03 "Ukraine continues to develop its military-industrial complex" - President Zelensky.
44:40 Anti-corruption purges in Russia.
46:00 How to understand the ongoing bombing of Kharkov by gliding air-bombs given the presence of F-16 aircraft in Ukraine? Aircraft are a subject of bargaining. Russian skies are better protected by Western guarantees than the Ukrainian ones.
48:33 Air defense missiles for Ukraine may be an element of punishment for the Kursk operation.
49:55 "Ukraine's invasion of Russia could provoke World War III" — US presidential candidate Trump. Kissinger's double ultimatum tactics.
53:16 What could have been the agreements with Russian Federation before the Kursk operation?
56:19 Russia's implementation of agreements and its punishment by Western partners after the Kharkov operation.
58:16 The war of half-hearted decisions by the West for dual control over the warring parties. Does Ukraine want to continue to be in such conditions?
01:03:11  What is US logic in this war? What can Ukraine trade for?


Ukraine War Chronicles and Analytics with Alexey Arestovych and Nikolay Feldman @ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL

Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_Arestovych
Official channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g

Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger.

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